TomTheTrader .: (10/11/2012 09:14) Traders TF positions will be exited here at 830.80 PROFITS
TomTheTrader .: (09:14) stops TRADERS UPRO at BREAK even
TomTheTrader .: (09:15) Stops Traders NQ at 2720.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:31) TRADERS UPRO stops now at 90.75
TomTheTrader .: (09:33) MINI short 50% here ES at 1437.00 stops 1441.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:34) UPRO stopped 90.75 Traders
TomTheTrader .: (09:38) stops On Traders NQ now at break even 2734.00 NQ Traders
TomTheTrader .: (09:42) stops on TRADERS NQ now up to 2738.00 Traders Stops 2738.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:45) Stopped in NQ here at 2738 NQ
TomTheTrader .: (09:45) Traders Flat
TomTheTrader .: (09:46) MINI covers 1435.50 PROFITS
TomTheTrader .: (09:47) Traders long here 50% NQ at 2737.50 stops 2732.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:50) Traders stops now at 2737.50
TomTheTrader .: (09:51) Traders stopped breakeven here Flat
TomTheTrader .: (09:52) 2737.50 Long 50% Traders
TomTheTrader .: (09:52) stops 2732.50
TomTheTrader .: (09:58) MINI will go long 25% here TF at 829.00 stops 827.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:01) 2743.00 NQ taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (10:01) Traders Profits
TomTheTrader .: (10:06) 830.10 taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (10:17) MINI will short ES here 1437.00 SS short ES stops 1441.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:18) 50% position
TomTheTrader .: (10:19) Traget 1435.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:19) target
TomTheTrader .: (10:47) 10 Risk on Futures here as we rally off extremes short term = BULLISH
TomTheTrader .: (10:48) should at least “Pause” Lull for 15 min before resuming up
TomTheTrader .: (11:11) Traders long 50% here NQ at 2734.00 stops 2729.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:13) stops on MINI ES to 1439.00 now
TomTheTrader .: (11:17) covering ES shorts here for Profits 1435.75
TomTheTrader .: (11:21) Traders stopped 2729 NQ
TomTheTrader .: (11:27) 95% odds of a trend Up day in effect should close on the highs all indices
TomTheTrader .: (11:27) Buy em
TomTheTrader .: (11:34) MINI long 100% here ES at 1434.50 stops 1430.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:02) Traders long 25% here TF 828.30 stops 827.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:06) 8 handle drop in ES took RISK from Max sell to Max Buy whippy but $$$$ makers
TomTheTrader .: (12:08) Traders taking profits here 829.00 TF
TomTheTrader .: (12:11) MINI 25% long NQ here at 2725.00 stops 2720.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:14) 2728.50 Taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (12:14) IRA Long 10% each
TomTheTrader .: (12:14) SCHW FRX JNJ FTNT IBM ABT ASML USB STLD BBT BX NUE UNP MSFT FFIN CYN ASBC OKSB PACW NVR
TomTheTrader .: (12:15) we will exit the old IRA positions within 24 hours
TomTheTrader .: (12:17) MINI taking stops up to 1433.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:17) BOX the stops 33.50 35.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:19) 1433.50 stopped out MINI
TomTheTrader .: (12:20) MINI 100% long ES here 1433
TomTheTrader .: (12:21) stops 1429.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:22) Traders long NQ here 2725.00 stops 2720
TomTheTrader .: (12:22) 50%
TomTheTrader .: (12:36) 50%
TomTheTrader .: (12:40) 1433.75 taking Profits 100% MINI
TomTheTrader .: (12:41) MINI 50% long TF here 829.00 stops 827.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:49) Mini taking profits 829.70 TF
TomTheTrader .: (12:55) Traders taking stops up to 2724.00 NQ here
TomTheTrader .: (12:56) Traders stopped 2724
TomTheTrader .: (12:57) MINI and Traders short term account 100% cash
TomTheTrader .: (12:57) IRA leveraged long
TomTheTrader .: (13:00) MINI 50% long here at 828.50 stops 826.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:03) MINI locking in profits here at 829.10 profits taken
TomTheTrader .: (13:14) MINI long 50% here TF at 828.50 stops 826.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:15) Traders 50% long ES here at 1433.50 stops 1429.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:38) 0 risk again here
TomTheTrader .: (13:38) 827 TF 2716 NQ and 1430 ES
TomTheTrader .: (13:42) MINI stopped at 826.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:44) ES stopped 1429.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:47) MINI 100% long ES at 1430.00
TomTheTrader .: (13:48) stops 1427.00
TomTheTrader .: (13:49) Traders 50% long NQ here 2716.00 stops 2710 .00
TomTheTrader .: (14:50) 2719.00 Taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (15:09) MINI long 50% here 2715.00 stops 2710.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:09) sorry That was TRADERS NOT MINI
TomTheTrader .: (15:12) Traders 50% long took Profits here 2718.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:13) MINI locked in PROFITS 1431.25
TomTheTrader .: (15:20) MINI long 100% here Traders ES 1430.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:20) Mini and Traders long
TomTheTrader .: (15:20) 1430
TomTheTrader .: (15:20) stops on the close
TomTheTrader .: (15:28) locked in profits on both Traders and MINI 1431.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:37) 100% long Traders here ES 1430.00 (Overnight) possible
TomTheTrader .: (15:38) MINI 25% long NQ at 2718.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:39) stops 2712.00
TomTheTrader .: (16:01) MINI we will exit at 4:15 prices NQ
TomTheTrader .: (20:07) **** Note**** Traders is 100% long ES from 1430.00 Portfolio on site does not have it *****
TomTheTrader .: (20:07) ————————- (10/11/2012 15:37) ————————- TomTheTrader .: 100% long Traders here ES 1430.00 (Overnight) possible
TomTheTrader .: (22:57) ————————– (10/11/2012 20:47) ————————– TomTheTrader .: took profits on some at 1432 TomTheTrader .: will take the rest off at 1432 Traders is taking gains on the Long here at 1432.00 Traders Flat
TomTheTrader .: (10/12/2012 09:00) Good Friday ! Markets look weak and unable to hold gains daily since 1470.00 highs
TomTheTrader .: (09:00) markets looking for a “savior” from Banks …so far “wrong’
TomTheTrader .: (09:01) JPM and WFC …disappointing at best
TomTheTrader .: (09:01) US markets may finish the worst week of the year if we don’t hold on here
TomTheTrader .: (09:02) HARD HAT WARNINGS prevail and get reinsituted
TomTheTrader .: (09:11) Two ways to play it here as we retest againand again
TomTheTrader .: (09:12) do you want to buy the dips for scalps …or sell the rallies ..both have similar outcomes
TomTheTrader .: (09:12) We are exactly 30 days into this correction of 3-8% I called for
TomTheTrader .: (09:13) Now it is time to make the next call …will we go full fledged into a intermediate term correction to 1375 ish or hang on to 1420-25 SPX cash
TomTheTrader .: (09:14) That is the question for now TGIF
TomTheTrader .: (09:18) NOONERS will exit QQQ at Noon today go to cash as mondays have been weak 18-20 last
TomTheTrader .: (09:45) MINI 50% long here ES at 1427.
TomTheTrader .: (09:45) stops 1425.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:45) Traders 25% long 825.00 stops 823.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:48) 1429.00 taking profits MINI 50% 1429.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:03) Traders taking profits here 829.50 PROFITS
TomTheTrader .: (10:27) MINI long here 1430.00 stops 1426.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:27) 50%
TomTheTrader .: (10:28) Traders long TF at 826.00 stops 824.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:29) 50%
TomTheTrader .: (10:34) Lock in profits at 826.50 TF
TomTheTrader .: (10:46) Traders long 50% here TF 824.90
TomTheTrader .: (10:46) 822.90 stops
TomTheTrader .: (10:48) Locked in Scalp at 823.40 TF will reenter
TomTheTrader .: (10:49) 825.40 ****
TomTheTrader .: (10:49) PROFITS
TomTheTrader .: (10:52) TF 50% long 825.00 stops 823.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:54) TF taking profits 825.60 Profits
TomTheTrader .: (11:01) There clearly isn’t a lot of oomph among buyers at the moment. As noted above, stocks have opened near their highs and closed near their lows for the past three days. We’ve usually seen a brief bounce after lousy performance like that. Our indicators aren’t giving a lot of backup to that idea, though, and it’s not a good sign that stocks have been so lackluster after moderate oversold conditions earlier this week. We’d consider risk to be neutral here.
TomTheTrader .: (11:10) Traders long TF here at 825.00 stops 823.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:15) TF stopped 823.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:15) ES stopped 1426.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:17) 100% long Traders and MINI UPRO here at 88.57
TomTheTrader .: (11:19) Target 89.75 ish
TomTheTrader .: (11:19) stops at 88.00 Flat both positions
TomTheTrader .: (11:33) stopped on Both MINI and Traders with a .57 cent loss
TomTheTrader .: (11:33) will go back to Futures
TomTheTrader .: (11:33) safer now
TomTheTrader .: (11:38) MINI long 50% here TF at 821.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:38) stops 819.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:41) Traders long NQ here at 2710.00 stops 2700.00 50%
TomTheTrader .: (11:42) Risk is 0 here 0 risk long daytrade 1420.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:54) 2713.00 lock in profits Traders
TomTheTrader .: (12:21) Traders 100% long here ES at 1422.75
TomTheTrader .: (13:13) MINI stopped 819.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:13) MINI Flat
TomTheTrader .: (13:14) Traders stops in at 1419.75
TomTheTrader .: (13:46) MINI 100% long NQ here at 2711.00 stops 2707.00
TomTheTrader .: (13:49) 0 risk again
TomTheTrader .: (13:49) here
TomTheTrader .: (13:52) MINI locking in Profits at 2713.00 MINI FLAT …will reenter
TomTheTrader .: (14:09) MINI long 50% here TF 819.80
TomTheTrader .: (14:09) stops 817.80
TomTheTrader .: (14:21) 820.30 TF taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (14:23) 1424.00 Taking profits Traders 16 contracts
TomTheTrader .: (14:23) Traders Flat
TomTheTrader .: (14:35) MINI 100% long ES 1424.00 stops 1420.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:53) 1426.00 taking profits 100% YES
TomTheTrader .: (15:28) MINI long 100% ES 1424.00 stops 1420.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:29) Traders 100% long NQ here at 2716.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:31) MINI stops now at ES 1422.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:32) Traders stops at 2712.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:48) mini stopped 1422.50
TomTheTrader .: (16:05) Traders stopped at 2712
TomTheTrader .: (10/15/2012 08:55) This is when the algo’s start selling, right?
TomTheTrader .: (09:09) TTT Nooners will enter UWM 2x long IWM at 9:35 a.m. prices Nooners long
TomTheTrader .: (09:32) Long Mini 25% TF 823.00 stops 821.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:34) NOONERS long UWM at 43.15
TomTheTrader .: (09:34) 43.13
TomTheTrader .: (09:34) averages here 43.14 NOONERS LONG
TomTheTrader .: (09:37) Traders 50% long ES here at 1426.50
TomTheTrader .: (09:37) stops 1422.50
TomTheTrader .: (09:42) MINI stopped at 821.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:47) Mini 50% long here 820.00 stops 818.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:15) stopped on Mini 818.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:20) MINI 100% long here TF at 818.00 stops 816.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:21) stops pulled on TRADERS
TomTheTrader .: (10:29) Traders 50% long NQ here at 2709.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:29) No stops on out Traders positions now
TomTheTrader .: (10:30) as we believe it is a low risk buying opp into the year end
TomTheTrader .: (11:07) 820.50 lock in TF profits from 818.00 100%
TomTheTrader .: (11:08) 821.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:09) Traders locking in Profits on NQ here at 2714.00 50%
TomTheTrader .: (11:12) Traders 1426.50 we will take off and go flat short term …will reenter good JOB
David .: (11:16) nice trade on TF
TomTheTrader .: (11:28) Traders short 50% NQ here 2719.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:28) target 2715.00 Hedge type scalp 7 risk
TomTheTrader .: (11:28) stops 2724.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:31) MINI short 100% here ES 1427.50 stops 1430.50 risk (hedge0 scalp
TomTheTrader .: (11:38) NQ stopped at 2724
TomTheTrader .: (11:41) 1430.50 stopped
TomTheTrader .: (11:41) 10 RISK
TomTheTrader .: (11:41) 10 RISK here
TomTheTrader .: (11:41) I would not add longs at this level
TomTheTrader .: (11:42) wait for a 10-15 min or so pullback
TomTheTrader .: (11:45) MINI 100% shoert here 1430.50 stops 1434.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:45) Traders 50% short here TF at 824.00 stops 826.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:49) 823.40 lock in profits
TomTheTrader .: (11:50) 1429.50 locked in profits Mini
TomTheTrader .: (12:05) 25% IRA we will take off ESV at 55.55
TomTheTrader .: (12:08) Mini long 822.00 stops 819.00 50%
TomTheTrader .: (12:23) 823.00 taking TF profits
TomTheTrader .: (12:29) Traders short here ES at 1432.500 stops 1435.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:30) 10 Risk touched
TomTheTrader .: (12:30) Traders shorts 50%
TomTheTrader .: (12:30) Mini short 100% here TF at 825.00 stops 827.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:30) 10 risk hit here Quick …shorts piling on
TomTheTrader .: (12:30) out
TomTheTrader .: (12:31) good move
TomTheTrader .: (12:31) RISK O METER says don’t buy new longs day trade now
TomTheTrader .: (12:31) cover TF short profits 824.40
TomTheTrader .: (12:32) Traders cover for Profits here 1431.75
TomTheTrader .: (12:36) JPM we will take profits in IRA here at 42.32
TomTheTrader .: (12:39) 1433.00 ES short Traders 50%
TomTheTrader .: (12:39) stops 1437.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:41) Mini short 50% here TF at 825.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:41) 10 risk Touched
TomTheTrader .: (12:42) Not a good place for day trade longs
TomTheTrader .: (12:43) cover Lock in profits 825.00 TF MINI
TomTheTrader .: (12:44) Mini 50% short here TF at 825.00 stops 827.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:53) 824.40 taking profits TF
TomTheTrader .: (13:07) MINI 50% short TF 825.60
TomTheTrader .: (13:07) stops 827.60
TomTheTrader .: (13:14) Mini lock in profits 825.10 TF
TomTheTrader .: (13:37) Traders covering shorts here 1431.50 Profits
TomTheTrader .: (14:33) Traders long 50% here 1431.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:34) MINI long 50% here TF at 823.40 stops 821.40
TomTheTrader .: (14:35) 823.80 lock in profits TF
TomTheTrader .: (14:38) Long 823.10 TF 50%
TomTheTrader .: (14:38) MINI
TomTheTrader .: (14:40) 823.60 taking profits TF
TomTheTrader .: (14:43) 822.60 long TF here MINI 50% stops 820.60
TomTheTrader .: (15:01) 823.10 taking profits TF
TomTheTrader .: (15:05) MINI TF LONG HERE AT 822.30
TomTheTrader .: (15:05) 50%
TomTheTrader .: (15:05) stops 820.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:12) stops MINI here 822.30
TomTheTrader .: (15:12) stops Traders 1430.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:16) 822.90 out Profits we will reenter
TomTheTrader .: (15:19) 1433.50 ES Traders locking in Profits
TomTheTrader .: (15:19) MINI and Traders Flat now
TomTheTrader .: (15:20) will reenter on any weakness
TomTheTrader .: (15:26) ABT JNJ we will sell 10% each here ABT at 72.03 and JNJ at 68.76
TomTheTrader .: (15:28) 823.10 long 50% TF
TomTheTrader .: (15:29) stops 822.00 MINI
TomTheTrader .: (15:31) Taking profits Mini 824.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:39) unofficial get together at 10:0pm est
TomTheTrader .: (15:39) TTT Traders Live
TomTheTrader .: (15:46) BREAKING OUT
TomTheTrader .: (15:46) 10 RISK here 1435.00 ES
TomTheTrader .: (15:46) do not buy ! can short today !
TomTheTrader .: (16:07) ES CHART STUCK FROM THIS AM TY RED
TomTheTrader .: (16:18) Not many services will go out on a limb and tell you there is 100% chance for a UP day ! TTT Did
TomTheTrader .: (16:32) REMEMBER PLEASE !!!! We are in our REUP season and Prices will rise …Join today or e-mail me tomandprisha@msn.com
TomTheTrader .: (21:57) Hey guys : very slow …awaiting major earnings !
TomTheTrader .: (21:58) Nothing tonight
TomTheTrader .: (21:58) all is well
TomTheTrader .: (21:58) should be OK into the open
TomTheTrader .: (21:58) bears still have a small window to get physical
TomTheTrader .: (21:58) but a FTD tomorrow would take our Intermediate term trend to POSITIVE
TomTheTrader .: (21:59) so we are OK long IRA swing and for now short term
TomTheTrader .: (21:59) TTT
TomTheTrader .: (21:59) see you manana
TomTheTrader .: (21:59) 10:00pm EST
TomTheTrader .: (22:00) will be here for a bit watching Ball game scanning options plays
TomTheTrader .: (22:00) if you have any questions please post …if not …we will see you in the a.m.
TomTheTrader .: (22:01) According to the Hulbert Financial Digest, newsletters went from recommending a 53% net long position in the Nasdaq to only 6%. That’s a huge decline in sentiment for less than a 3% decline in the Nasdaq Composite last week. The only other time in five years we’ve seen that large of a drop in sentiment for a relatively small decline was the week ending 3/18/11 (which happened to mark a temporary low for the index).
TomTheTrader .: (22:02) Options traders have been opening more contracts betting on a rally than a decline, though it’s not to the extreme levels we saw in late 2010. Still, stocks tend to under-perform when we see this kind of aggressiveness.
TomTheTrader .: (22:02) The Smart Money is 46% confident in a rally.The Dumb Money is 50% confident in a rally.
TomTheTrader .: (22:03) Stocks finally managed a bounce, and most indexes remain near make-or-break levels along trendlines or former support. There wasn’t much buying interest after the last round of mild oversold conditions a week ago, which is a yellow flag of warning, but so far there isn’t enough evidence to suggest the uptrend is broken. With mixed short-term sentiment readings and a questionable trend, risk appears evenly balanced.
TomTheTrader .: (22:05) Reminder we did sell ABT and JNJ on todays rally : see Transcript
TomTheTrader .: (22:06) IRA leveraged long Traders Cash Mini Cash Nooners 100% long UWM
TomTheTrader .: (10/16/2012 09:09) Yesterday we said “Expect a FTD of .25-.50% Up”
TomTheTrader .: (09:11) We will be watching the pure A/D lines for signs of extension to new highs
TomTheTrader .: (09:50) short 50% MINI ES at 1444.00 stops 1448.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:52) BX we Take profits in here BX sell 10% here at 15.40
TomTheTrader .: (09:53) FTNT taking profits here 10% IRA at 25.05
TomTheTrader .: (09:55) ASML we will sell 10% IRA ASML at 53.95
TomTheTrader .: (09:56) IBM we will sell 10% here at 210.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:57) NVR profits IRA 880.76
TomTheTrader .: (09:57) 10% position
TomTheTrader .: (09:59) Traders short 25% here TF at 832.50 stops 834.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:04) 831.80 cover for profits
TomTheTrader .: (10:11) ————————– (10/16/2012 10:11) ————————– TomTheTrader .: 10 Risk hit here at 1446
TomTheTrader .: (10:11) Good place to take profits
TomTheTrader .: (10:22) NOONERS will swap UWM for QLD at NOON prices NOONERS
TomTheTrader .: (10:34) 832.50 short 25% Traders stops 834.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:37) 832.00 TF Taking profits Traders
TomTheTrader .: (10:54) covering our MINI shorts here at 1444.75
TomTheTrader .: (11:18) MINI short 25% here TF at 831.00 stops 833.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:29) TRADERS short 50% here ES on 10 RISK here 1448.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:33) stops on traders short here at 1451.50
TomTheTrader .: (11:45) Traders covering for PROFITS 1447.50 Profits taken
TomTheTrader .: (12:07) Traders 50% short here ES at 1449.00 here
TomTheTrader .: (12:07) stops 1443.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:10) MINI stopped 833.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:10) Stops Traders at 1453.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:13) MINI 25% short here TF at 833.00 stops 835.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:16) IRA will sell off the following positions
TomTheTrader .: (12:16) MSFT 29.68
TomTheTrader .: (12:17) SCHW 13.27
TomTheTrader .: (12:17) UNP 122.90
TomTheTrader .: (12:18) NUE 39.71
TomTheTrader .: (12:18) STLD 12.53
TomTheTrader .: (12:18) XLK 30.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:19) HLSS 17.85
TomTheTrader .: (12:20) Mini taking profits 831.80 PROFITS
TomTheTrader .: (12:20) BANG
TomTheTrader .: (12:26) stops moved to 1451.00 ES
TomTheTrader .: (13:09) POLITICS WARNING !!!!
TomTheTrader .: (13:09) Let’s Move ON !
TomTheTrader .: (13:17) ALL Trials are over
TomTheTrader .: (13:17) We are in the process of PAYING BILLS
TomTheTrader .: (13:18) so please take advantage of the lowest rates ever
TomTheTrader .: (13:18) and join today
TomTheTrader .: (13:18) we will have to start s blocking visitors
TomTheTrader .: (13:18) if you need a plan or to pay by check
TomTheTrader .: (13:18) please call or write me at tomandprisha@msn.com
TomTheTrader .: (13:18) 850-597-8706
TomTheTrader .: (13:19) we can work out a plan to keep you in the TTT room and getting all the services you need
TomTheTrader .: (13:51) IRA 155% long
TomTheTrader .: (14:03) drop stops on ES down here to 1450.00 ASML
TomTheTrader .: (14:04) ASML here 10% 53.65
TomTheTrader .: (14:05) FTNT long 25% 24.60
TomTheTrader .: (14:06) EBAY 10% EBAY 48.13
TomTheTrader .: (14:08) 10% long WFM at 98.96
TomTheTrader .: (14:10) stops now at break even 1448.50 ES MINI and Traders Flat IRA 200% long
TomTheTrader .: (14:11) Profits taken on the short at 1448.50
TomTheTrader .: (14:11) and we are leveraged long IRA again
TomTheTrader .: (14:20) long 830.80 long Traders
TomTheTrader .: (14:21) stops 828.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:29) 831.20 taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (14:29) 50%
TomTheTrader .: (14:29) Traders
TomTheTrader .: (14:32) MINI 50% long TF here at 831.
TomTheTrader .: (14:32) stops 829.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:46) Mini taking profts 831.50
TomTheTrader .: (14:54) Traders long 50% here 831.00 stops 829.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:55) TF
TomTheTrader .: (15:01) 831.40 taking profits Traders
TomTheTrader .: (15:07) MINI 1447.00 long 50% stops 1444.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:18) Mini taking profits here
TomTheTrader .: (15:18) 1448.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:21) long MINI 25% here TF 830.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:21) stops 828.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:26) 1447.00 long traders 25%
TomTheTrader .: (15:26) stops 1444.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:26) 831.00 Mini taking profits
TomTheTrader .: (15:30) 1448.00 taking profits Flat
TomTheTrader .: (15:45) shorting here TRADERS 50% at 1449.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:45) stops 1451.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:48) MINI short 25% here TF at 832.00 stops 834.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:59) 832.40 we will cover
TomTheTrader .: (15:59) covering 1449.50 Flat
TomTheTrader .: (15:59) FLAT TF
TomTheTrader .: (15:59) FLAT ES
TomTheTrader .: (16:03) Taking profits IRA on FTNT here at 24.80
TomTheTrader .: (19:50) Earthquake in Maine
TomTheTrader .: (19:50) RED ARE YOU OK ???
TomTheTrader .: (19:50) Let us know
TomTheTrader .: (19:50) AGAIN EARTHQUAKE IN MAINE
TomTheTrader .: (10/17/2012 09:32) IRA will buy 15% in RIMM at 7.80
TomTheTrader .: (09:32) IRA 200% Long
TomTheTrader .: (09:44) MINI short 50% here ES 1451.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:44) stops 1455.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:44) Traders short TF here 25% 835.10
TomTheTrader .: (09:44) Stops 837.10
TomTheTrader .: (10:00) NOONERS will stay long QLD as e-mail noted
TomTheTrader .: (10:02) Traders stopped at 837.10
TomTheTrader .: (10:03) Traders will short here 25% TF at 837.50 stops 839.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:04) MINI stopped at 1455.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:15) 839.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:15) sorry Jay !
TomTheTrader .: (10:17) Traders and mini flat
TomTheTrader .: (10:28) Mini 100% short TF here at 1455.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:29) stops 1460.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:29) ES
TomTheTrader .: (10:29) Traders short TF at 839.50 stops 841.50 50%
TomTheTrader .: (10:30) IRA UWM taking off 50% here at 44.82
TomTheTrader .: (10:33) 10% long GMCR IRA at 22.50 you think ! Amazing rally
TomTheTrader .: (10:34) My goodness this occurs maybe 2-3 x a year /
TomTheTrader .: (10:34) 10% long EMC here at 25.78
TomTheTrader .: (10:36) BRCM added 10% at 34.34 IRA
TomTheTrader .: (10:36) WCRX added 10% here at 12.88
TomTheTrader .: (10:38) ERX added 10% here 55.75
TomTheTrader .: (11:03) 1454.50 taking profits ES
TomTheTrader .: (11:03) TF taking profits here at 838.60
TomTheTrader .: (11:03) MINI and Traders FLAT
TomTheTrader .: (11:38) MINI short 50% here TF at 839.00 stops 841.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:39) Traders 50% short here ES at 1455.50 stops 1460.00
TomTheTrader .: (11:52) GMCR put a IRA stop in here at Break even
TomTheTrader .: (11:53) Again GMCR put stops in at BREAK even
TomTheTrader .: (12:21) GMCR stops now at 24.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:22) RIMM stops at 7.87 IRA 10%
TomTheTrader .: (12:23) BOTH RIMM and GMCR bought today and stops put in to protect gains
TomTheTrader .: (12:24) MINI stopped at 841.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:26) Traders will buy VXX 100% here at 33.08 stops 31.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:28) MINI 100% short TF here at 840.50 stops 842.50
TomTheTrader .: (12:57) 840.00 taking profits MINI
TomTheTrader .: (13:06) stops on ES down to 1458.00 Traders
TomTheTrader .: (13:16) stopped on GMCR at 24.00
TomTheTrader .: (13:17) RIMM raise stops to 8.00
TomTheTrader .: (13:39) Traders covering 50% short here at 1454.50
TomTheTrader .: (13:48) RIMM stopped at 8.00 Rimm out of IRA
TomTheTrader .: (13:49) VXX traders stops at 33.10
TomTheTrader .: (14:13) MINI 100% short ES here at 1454.00 stops 1457.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:14) 20% long here BRCM at 34.50
TomTheTrader .: (14:19) TRADERS stopped VXX here at 33.10
TomTheTrader .: (14:32) Traders 25% short here at TF 836.10
TomTheTrader .: (14:33) stops 838.10
TomTheTrader .: (15:11) 838.10 Stpped on 1 short
TomTheTrader .: (15:11) Mini stopped at 1457.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:15) MINI 100% short here TF 838.40 stops 840.40
TomTheTrader .: (15:15) Traders 100% short here 1457.25
TomTheTrader .: (15:17) stops 1461.25
TomTheTrader .: (15:26) 1456.50 covering shorts here
TomTheTrader .: (15:36) Traders short 100% here 1457.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:40) 1456.50 Covering for profits
TomTheTrader .: (15:58) 9:00pm Meet and greet
TomTheTrader .: (17:27) MINI was stopped 840.40
TomTheTrader .: (20:39) Bullishness among newsletter writers dropped for the fourth consecutive week.
TomTheTrader .: (20:39) A modest continuation of the rally leaves us in pretty much the same position as we were. The STEM.MR model for the S&P 500 is still in “excessive optimism” territory, and when we’ve seen that over the past three months, stocks have taken a multi-day breather, so short-term risk has risen. It would be even higher had the indexes solidly violated their technical support levels, but the price trends have been holding.
TomTheTrader .: (20:40) Options traders are betting that the VIX “fear gauge” is about to rise. Their forecasting record does not necessarily give a lot of faith that it will happen.
TomTheTrader .: (20:40) Because the VIX is the stock market’s de facto “fear gauge”, traders betting on that index rising almost certainly means they’re indirectly betting that stocks will fall. The premise of the article was that a market sell-off is more likely due to traders placing these bets on the VIX.
TomTheTrader .: (20:41) Putting all the following together gets you a feel :10-Day Put/Call RatioPut/Call Open Interest RatioOptions SkewThe way the index is constructed, if traders were betting the most heavily they had in a year on a jump in the VIX, then the Sentiment Index would be at 100%. Just to be clear, this means that traders expect volatility to increase, and stocks to fall.
TomTheTrader .: (20:41) The 10-Day Put/Call Ratio, Open Interest Ratio and Skew are all above 90% on a scale of 0% to 100% (with 100% meaning that traders are aggressively betting that volatility will increase). The average of the three is 95%, which we have seen only a few times in the past five years.
TomTheTrader .: (20:41) Due to the increasing number of derivatives based on volatility, the options market may not be a pure read on sentiment. But as much as it is, it hasn’t been very accurate.
TomTheTrader .: (20:42) Of the four distinct times the VIX Sentiment Index rose above 90%, we saw a short-term pop in fear three times, but a couple of them were so small as to be almost imperceptible, and they were quickly reversed. Only one of them, in May 2011, led to any kind of meaningful rise in volatility and decline in stock prices.
TomTheTrader .: (20:42) From the history that we have, it looks like the current wave of bets on rising volatility may lead to a short-term spike (and drop in stocks), but there isn’t a lot of support for the idea that it’s a precursor to a major correction.
TomTheTrader .: (20:43) Bottom line we need a quick corrective day …a ugly day but with good breadth …how we get that for a couple of days …I do not know
TomTheTrader .: (20:44) But if we can selloff with keeping decent breadth tomorrow and Friday and maybe Monday and Hold 1446.00 ES we will most likely 90% shot at new highs on October 26th
TomTheTrader .: (20:45) We now need to continue to watch the tape …the simple a/d line would have saved me from a few “Bad” day trades today …which I am not used to …my bad …we always have tomorrow
TomTheTrader .: (21:08) TTT Thanks you !
TomTheTrader .: (10/18/2012 09:04) 1441-1463 ES may squeeze into 1446.50 -1457.70 range pre OPEX
TomTheTrader .: (09:17) No audio until 9:30 am today
TomTheTrader .: (09:37) ————————- (10/18/2012 09:30) ————————- TomTheTrader .: Jay our Tracker has been out the past 2 days ….we will make sure all gets caught up PORTFOLIOS ARE NOT CORRECT AS OF NOW
TomTheTrader .: (09:43) EBAY we sold here 50.04
TomTheTrader .: (09:43) Nice Trade !
TomTheTrader .: (10:01) Mini 100% short here ES 1455.50 stops 1460.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:02) Taking profits here 1454.00
TomTheTrader .: (10:21) 836.00 TF long stops 834.00 100%
TomTheTrader .: (10:22) Traders
TomTheTrader .: (10:25) IRA long AAPL 636.50
TomTheTrader .: (10:25) 25%
TomTheTrader .: (10:33) Traders taking profits here 836.90 Flat traders
TomTheTrader .: (11:24) ————————- (10/18/2012 11:03) ————————- TomTheTrader .: TY ————————- (10/18/2012 11:05) ————————- TomTheTrader .: Traders ES short here 1455.75 TomTheTrader .: 100%TomTheTrader .: stops 1460.00 ————————- (10/18/2012 11:07) ————————- TomTheTrader .: Traders taking profits here ES 1455.00 ————————- (10/18/2012 11:16) ————————- TomTheTrader .: Traders 100% short here ES at 1456.00 stops 1460.00 ————————- (10/18/2012 11:23) ————————- TomTheTrader .: Locking in profits covering at 1455.00 Traders Flat
TomTheTrader .: (11:30) 100% short here 1456.00 stops 1460.00 ES Traders
TomTheTrader .: (11:42) Mini 100% short here NQ at 2764.500 stops 2770.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:34) covering shorts here Traders and Mini at market
TomTheTrader .: (12:34) GOOG released earnings early
TomTheTrader .: (12:35) 2750.50 Exited NQ
TomTheTrader .: (12:35) ES exited 1455.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:35) Traders and MINI Flat
TomTheTrader .: (14:46) ALL HEDGES OFF …but HARD HATS still on
TomTheTrader .: (15:32) Traders 100% long here TQQQ 57.15
TomTheTrader .: (15:32) stops 4%
TomTheTrader .: (15:35) MINI long TF here at 836.10 stops 834.00 100%
TomTheTrader .: (15:39) Locking in profits 836.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:40) MINI 100% long TF here at 836.10 stops 834.00
TomTheTrader .: (15:47) LONG 25 PER CENT IRA MSFT
TomTheTrader .: (15:47) 29.43
TomTheTrader .: (16:01) MINI STOPPED 834
TomTheTrader .: (16:05) MINOR
TomTheTrader .: (16:24) 9:00PM EST WE WILL MEET : COME ON IN !
TomTheTrader .: (16:24) Say good night Tom
TomTheTrader .: (20:53) An unintentional mid-day earnings announcement from Google helped to spook traders, and the tech sector again under-performed. Only modest losses in the broader market means that our most sensitive indicators barely moved out of extreme territory,
TomTheTrader .: (20:53) Given the market’s tendency to settle back after readings like we’ve seen this week, the risk level remains elevated.
TomTheTrader .: (20:55) The action in Tech stocks (The former leaders) is not inspiring…If AAPL continues the disappointing news we very easily could be retesting the recent lows of 1420.00 and give back this weeks gains.
TomTheTrader .: (20:55) Over the past three months, there has been a relative calm about the markets. Because of that, the Risk Appetite Index has showed a persistent lift and its three-month average just moved to the most-extreme level in at least 15 years.
TomTheTrader .: (20:55) Despite numerous “known unknowns” like the U.S. presidential election, the looming fiscal cliff, earnings reports and the fluid maneuverings in the eurozone, the appetite for risk has stayed strong.
TomTheTrader .: (20:56) The Risk Appetite Index aggregates several different indicators of risk-seeking behavior as compiled by institutional brokerage firms. Those indicators look at credit spreads, equity and foreign exchange volatility, gold prices and sector relative performance among others.
TomTheTrader .: (20:56) This one looks at a three-month average of the daily readings, to smooth out the day-to-day fluctuations. As of now, it’s at its most-extreme reading in at least 15 years.
TomTheTrader .: (20:57) This means that credit spreads are tight, volatility is low in stocks and bonds, there isn’t anything terribly unusual going on in currency carry trades, traders haven’t been obsessively hiding out in gold, and economically sensitive stocks have been doing OK. In other words, it’s been a relatively calm ride and traders have priced that in. They’ve priced it in to a degree we haven’t seen in at least 15 years.
TomTheTrader .: (20:57) Typically, this is a cyclical indicator. When traders get either too comfortable, or too uncomfortable, the market tends to relieve the pressure. There was a notable outlier in 2008 when things just kept getting worse, but other than that the indicator doesn’t stay in extreme territory for long. The suggestion, then, is that the calm is about to lift, removing some of the comfort that traders have priced into the markets. In other words, it’s a bad sign for stocks.
TomTheTrader .: (20:58) There is a definite edge toward now buying VXX or Vix calls as we have been discussing
TomTheTrader .: (20:59) As I have said since the hasty rally …we came too far too fast and now may have to pay the dues….again…the tape had it’s 1st negative day as we called for Exactly…now the key is how will it go into OPEX and especially with AAPL data
TomTheTrader .: (21:00) This is a very tough time for both Bulls and Bears as the FED and world Bailouts are dominating RISK
TomTheTrader .: (21:01) and right now …a slip up of any kind will take us quickly back to support…we need more FEAR and the only way to get it is with a “Event” …we almost had that today with GOOG …will we have it with AAPL or will it save the rally ?
TomTheTrader .: (21:01) I am leaning bearish here
TomTheTrader .: (21:07) Short term
TomTheTrader .: (10/19/2012 08:55) ————————– (10/19/2012 08:55) ————————– TomTheTrader .: OPEX FRIDAY CASUAL FRIDAY and CRASH 87′ Anniversary
TomTheTrader .: (09:09) CL POP off lows
TomTheTrader .: (09:09) Look for a very High Volume open
TomTheTrader .: (09:15) I will be out from 10:30 am til Noon
TomTheTrader .: (09:15) Casual Friday
TomTheTrader .: (09:34) MINI 50% long here ES 1447.00 stops 1444.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:40) we were looking for 1446.50 support
TomTheTrader .: (09:41) and bought 1447.00
TomTheTrader .: (09:44) 1444.00 stopped MINI
TomTheTrader .: (09:46) MINI 100% long NQ here 2716
TomTheTrader .: (09:52) TomTheTrader .: Major Buy signals in QQQ NQ MNX NDX
TomTheTrader .: (09:53) Mini Locking in profits 2720
TomTheTrader .: (09:53) we will reenter
TomTheTrader .: (09:53) Majot TECH BUY SIGNAL HIT
TomTheTrader .: (10:06) MINI LONG 100% here 2718.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:21) Long 100% Mini here NQ 2681
TomTheTrader .: (12:26) Traders long 100% here NQ at 2681.00
TomTheTrader .: (12:52) IRA 20% long TBT here at =121.50 TLT Buy TBT at 64.62
TomTheTrader .: (13:00) False Bell
TomTheTrader .: (13:00) Mistake bell
TomTheTrader .: (14:24) TTT BUY SIGNAL HIT
TomTheTrader .: (14:24) TTT BUY SIGNAL HITS
TomTheTrader .: (14:24) E_MAIL SENT
TomTheTrader .: (10/22/2012 10:35) WE ARE LEVERAGED LONG ON ALL TIMEFRAMES ON A TTT BUY SIGNAL STOPS 4-8% back
RedlionTrader 2: (10:39) WE ARE LEVERAGED LONG ON ALL TIMEFRAMES ON A TTT BUY SIGNAL STOPS 4-8% back
TomTheTrader .: (11:49) Nooners Mini Traders IRA all positions leveraged long on the TTT Buy signal
TomTheTrader .: (11:49) all positions long no shorts
TomTheTrader .: (11:49) we are leveraged long in all services all portfolios all options
TomTheTrader .: (11:49) TTT Is Extremely bullish
TomTheTrader .: (11:49) long in every service all areas long
TomTheTrader .: (12:28) we will Buy AKS 50% IRA at 5.49
TomTheTrader .: (15:55) 2687.50 out 1 piece NQ
TomTheTrader .: (15:55) MINI and or TRaders Profits
TomTheTrader .: (10/23/2012 09:14) Major emotional gap down on Downgrades and bad earnings
TomTheTrader .: (10:27) ERX was stopped in IRA yesterday
TomTheTrader .: (11:37) WCRX stopped in IRA
TomTheTrader .: (13:19) NQ short Scalp here (Hedge) 100% 2679.00
TomTheTrader .: (13:19) MINI
TomTheTrader .: (13:19) stops 2715
TomTheTrader .: (13:23) we reached day trade High risk
TomTheTrader .: (13:23) now back and fill a bit
TomTheTrader .: (13:33) day trade HIGH RISK area
TomTheTrader .: (13:38) 2675.00 cover shorts 100% Mini
TomTheTrader .: (13:46) MINI 100% long here ES at 1408.50 stops 1404.50
TomTheTrader .: (14:01) 1411.50 locking in profits
TomTheTrader .: (14:13) MINI long 100% here ES at 1408.00 stops 1405.00
TomTheTrader .: (14:25) MINI locking in profits at 1409.50
TomTheTrader .: (14:37) IRA long 25% DAL and EMC 24.70 EMC and DAL 10.07
TomTheTrader .: (15:30) MINI long TF here 812.90 stops 810.90 100%
TomTheTrader .: (15:52) Mini locking in profits 813.50
TomTheTrader .: (15:55) MINI 100% long here ES sell at 4:15 PM 1409
TomTheTrader .: (15:55) CLOSE MINI ES TRADE 100% AT 4:15PM