Time To Struggle ? Orange Swan is ready to breakdown!

 Stocks have often struggled in the back half of February. Not this year, with new highs the day after the Presidents Day holiday. There have been 6 times when SPY closed at a new high the day after the holiday (1997, 2004, 2007, 2012, 2013, 2015). Through the first week in April, SPY added to its gains only one time, returned an average of -1.3%, with risk of -4.9% and reward of +1.5%.

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